How fast is the innovation timeline?
If we go back a little more than 100 years, to the beginning of the current model of school, there was no:
+ electricity in homes
+ air conditioning
+ blood type theory
+ general relativity theory
+ nuclear energy theory
+ E = mc²
+ DNA theory
A little more than 10 years ago, you couldn’t find the following things:
+ Google Maps or Apple Maps
+ cloud computing
+ Hadoop (if you don’t know it, look it up)
+ microchips with non-silicon materials (for which you can thank your current computing power)
100 years and 10 years. And these are the very short lists. (For a fuller picture, look at Thomas Friedman’s Thank You For Being Late, Chapter 2, and Steven Johnson’s Where Good Ideas Come From, Conclusion.)
Given Moore’s Law and the overall acceleration in the rate of change, the next 10 years will likely generate as much innovation as the previous 100 years (which includes the last ten years--think about that for a moment).
Have you seen any evidence to the contrary?
If not, what is your organization's plan to engage with the questions raised by Marc Mertens from A Hundred Years?
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